This is a real bet, not one that I'm offering, mind you, but one that Nate Silver is offering.1 The bet? Simple. Nate will pay you $25 for every day that the average temperature where you live is at least 1°F lower than average provided that you agree to pay him $25 for every day that the average temperature where you live is at least 1°F higher than average (and provided that you're a regular blog contributor; see this post for details).
Among the details you'll find in that post are that you had to place your bet for August by yesterday. Nate posted his challenge on the 18th, and guess how many takers he got. Zero, nada, zip. Maybe John Hinderaker didn't see Nate's challenge. Maybe John will take it up later in the year. Or maybe he's not willing to put his money where his mouth is.2
Among the details you'll find in that post are that you had to place your bet for August by yesterday. Nate posted his challenge on the 18th, and guess how many takers he got. Zero, nada, zip. Maybe John Hinderaker didn't see Nate's challenge. Maybe John will take it up later in the year. Or maybe he's not willing to put his money where his mouth is.2
Hat tip: Dave Connell
1The fact that it's Nate Silver offering this bet should be fair warning to any of you inclined to take it that you're not likely to make much money. If you follow politics at all, you probably know that Nate runs FiveThirtyEight.com, which did a very good job of projecting election outcomes in 2008. Nate's a pretty respectable statistician, so you can be sure he's pretty sure that he'll come out smelling like a rose.
2But don't expect me to offer any bets. I'm not a gambler.
1The fact that it's Nate Silver offering this bet should be fair warning to any of you inclined to take it that you're not likely to make much money. If you follow politics at all, you probably know that Nate runs FiveThirtyEight.com, which did a very good job of projecting election outcomes in 2008. Nate's a pretty respectable statistician, so you can be sure he's pretty sure that he'll come out smelling like a rose.
2But don't expect me to offer any bets. I'm not a gambler.
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