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Fu [3] proposes a different statistic based on the infinite
sites model of mutation. He suggests estimating the probability of
observing a random sample with a number of alleles equal to or smaller
than the observed value under given the observed level of diversity
and the assumption that all of the alleles are selectively neutral. If
we call this probability
, then
A negative value of
is evidence for an excess number of alleles,
as would be expected from a recent population expansion or from
genetic hitchhiking. A positive value of
is evidence for an
deficiency of alleles, as would be expect from a recent population
bottleneck or from overdominant selection. Fu's simulations suggest
that
is a more sensitive indicator of population expansion and
genetic hitchhiking than Tajima’s
. Those simulations also suggest
that the conventional P-value of 0.05 corresponds to a P-value from
the coalescent simulation of 0.02. In other words,
should be
regarded as significant if
.
Kent Holsinger
2010-12-13