- ...
owl.1
- We'll talk in some detail about the northern spotted owl
next time.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... information.2
- We'll return to
approaches conservation biologists can use to overcome the information
deficit they face. But for the next hour or two, we're going to ignore
this problem.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... 95\%.3
- For
no better reason than we accept a 95% confidence level as
``reasonable'' evidence against a null hypothesis in statistical
tests.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ...
years.4
- For no better reason than that 10 years seemed too
short and 1000 years seemed unrealistic.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... purposes.5
- We'll see later that this restriction
gets broadened to include sets of interacting populations. These sets
of interacting populations are known as metapopulations.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ...
populations,6
- Some of which we've already seen and more of
which we're about to encounter.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ...
persistence.7
- More precisely, those components of the
community that depend on these animals will go extinct. Other
components may persist, but the community that persists will be quite
different from the one currently in place.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ...
applicable.8
- Insects and annual plants, though they pose their
own problems for conservationists, are fairly simple to deal with
demographically.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... rates.9
- The discussion of Leslie and
Lefkovitch matrices found here draws extensively on material in
[1, Chapters 2-4].
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ...
offspring.10
- In the models we'll be considering today, we also
ignore demographic stochasticity, so the probability of surviving from
one year to the next is equal to the fraction that actually survive.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ....11
- To keep things simple, I'm assuming
that all eigenvalues are distinct.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... Elasticity12
- The
elasticities sum to one, so each can be considered the element's
``contribution'' to determining the eigenvalue.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... season13
- We ignored
environmental stochasticity, remember.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... variance.14
- Remember the
simple relationships I told you about a couple of lectures ago. Their
results are quite similar.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
- ... remember:15
- I'd urge you to recite them to yourself
every night before you go to bed, but that's a bit much.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.