Sala [6] provides us with a way to say something
about what areas of the world are likely to suffer the greatest
changes in biodiversity as a result of changes projected through
2100. But we all know that some regions of the world are more diverse
than others. Most groups of organisms have far more species in the
tropics than they do in the temperate zone or in higher latitudes. As
a result, a lot of the focus on the extinction crisis has been
associated with loss of tropical rainforests. Because the numbers are
so daunting, many conservationists have focused on identifying those
places with the highest amount of diversity, ``biodiversity hotspots''
as Norman Myers [3] called them. Myers et
al. [4, p. 853] argue that because ``the number of species
threatened with extinction far outstrips available conservation
resources
this places a premium on identifying priorities'',
which they propose to do by identifying ``areas featuring exceptional
concentrations of endemic species and experiencing exceptional loss of
habitat.'' Their analysis suggest that ``as many as 44% of all
species of vascular plants and 35% of all species in four vertebrate
groups are confined to hotspots comprising only 1.4% of the land
surface of the Earth'' (Figure 3).
Because the definition of ``hotspot'' Myers et al. [4] used included ``exceptional loss of habitat'' and because land use changes are the biggest driver of biodiversity loss [6], it shouldn't be surprising that several of the hotspots correspond with areas identified in the Sala et al. analysis as areas where the greates biodiversity changes are expected, notably the Mediterranean climate regions: the Mediterranean basin itself, the Cape Floristic Province, southwest Australia, central Chile, and the California Floristic Province.
2007-11-03